Publications

JC Blackwood, K Nik, and S Nik (2026). Dynamics of coral-macroalgae interactions under crowding. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, [in press].

G Bowman*, JC Blackwood, KJ Montovan, and EE Goldwyn (2026). Modeling opioid use disorder in hand surgery patients. Mathematical Medicine and Biology, 43(1):24–37.

KR Newton*, LM Luttrell*, JC Blackwood, KJ Montovan, and EE Goldwyn (2025). A risk-structured model of the influence of mental health on opioid addiction, Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 87(5):66.

W Huffmyer*, WD Koenig, A Hastings, JC Blackwood, J Machta, A Liebhold, and KC Abbott (2024). Variation in avian predation pressure as a driver for the diversification of periodical cicada broods . The American Naturalist, 203:3, E92-E106.

E Howerton†, K Dahlin†, CJ Edholm, L Fox, M Reynolds, B Hollingsworth, G Lytle, M Walker, JC Blackwood, S Lenhart (2023). The effect of governance structures on optimal control of two-patch epidemic models, Journal of Mathematical Biology, 87.

FM Castonguay, JC Blackwood, E Howerton, K Shea, C Sims, and JN Sanchirco (2023). Optimal Spatial Evaluation of a Pro Rata Vaccine Distribution Rule for COVID-19. Scientific Reports, 13:2194.

C Sims, P Armsworth, JC Blackwood, B Fitzpatrick, DM Kling, S Lenhart, M Neubert, M Papes, J Sanchirico, and K Shea (2023). Leveraging federalism for flexible and robust management of social-ecological systems. People and Nature, 00:1-9.

H Williams, A Scharf*, A Ryba*, R Norris, D Mennill, A Newman, S Doucet, and JC Blackwood (2022). Cumulative Cultural Evolution and Mechanisms for Cultural Selection in Wild Bird Songs. Nature Communications, 13:4001.

JC Blackwood, MM Malakhov*, J Duan*†, JJ Pellett*†, I Phadke*† S Lenhart, C Sims, and K Shea (2021). Governance structure affects transboundary disease management under alternative objectives. BMC Public Health, 21:1-13.

J Duan*†, MM Malakhov*†, JJ Pellett*†, IS Phadke*†, J Barber*, and JC Blackwood (2021).  Management efficacy in a metapopulation model of white-nose syndrome. Natural Resource Modeling, e12304. 

G Kye*, J Machta, KC Abbott, A Hastings, W Huffmyer*, F Ji, AM Liebhold, and JC Blackwood (2021). Sharp boundary formation and invasion between spatially adjacent periodical cicada broods. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 515:110600.

JN Sanchirco, JC Blackwood, B Fitzpatrick, DM Kling, S Lenhart, MG Neubert, K Shea, CB Sims, and M Springborn (2020). Political economy of renewable resource federalism. Ecological Applications, 31:e02276.

RF Bernard, JD Reichard, JTH Coleman, JC Blackwood, ML Verant, JL Segers, JM Lorch, JP White, MS Moore, AL Russell, RA Katz, DL Linder, RS Toomey, GG Turner, WF Frick, MJ Vonhof, CKR Willis, and EHC Grant (2020). Identifying research needs to inform white-nose syndrome management decisions. Conservation Science and Practice, e220.

LM Childs, R Hughes, and JC Blackwood (2020). The role of increased gonotrophic cycles in the establishment of Wolbachia in Anopheles populations. Theoretical Ecology, 13:349–369.

J Machta, JC Blackwood, A Noble, AM Liebhold, and A Hastings (2019). A hybrid model for the population dynamics of periodical cicadas. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 81:1122-1142.

CM Topaz, B Klingenberg, D Turek, B Heggeseth, P Harris, JC Blackwood, CO Chavoya, S Nelson, KM Murphy (2019). Diversity of artists in major U.S. museums. PLoS ONE, 14:e0212852.

JC Blackwood† and LM Childs† (2018). An introduction to compartmental modeling for the budding infectious disease modeler. Letters in Biomathematics, 5:195-221.

JC Blackwood, J Machta, AD Meyer*, AE Noble, A Hastings, and AM Liebhold (2018). Competition and “stragglers” as mediators of developmental synchrony in periodical cicadas. The American Naturalist, 192:479-489.

M Walker, JC Blackwood, V Brown, and LM Childs (2018). Modelling Allee effects in a transgenic mosquito population during range expansion. Journal of Biological Dynamics, 1-21.

R Nikin-Beers, JC Blackwood†, LM Childs†, and SM Ciupe† (2018). Unraveling within-host signatures of dengue infection at the population level. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 446:79-86.

JC Blackwood, R Vargas Jr*, and X Fauvergue (2018). A cascade of destabilizations: combining Wolbachia and Allee effects to eradicate insect pests. Journal of Animal Ecology, 87:59-72.

JC Blackwood, C Okasaki*, A Archer*, EW Matt*, E Sherman, and K Montovan (2017). Modeling alternative stable states in Caribbean coral reefs. Natural Resource Modeling, 31:e12157.

O Maxian*‡, A Neufeld*‡, EJ Talis*‡, LM Childs†, and JC Blackwood† (2017). Zika virus dynamics: When does sexual transmission matter? Epidemics, 21:48-55.

AD Meyer*, DF Stevens*, and JC Blackwood (2016). Predicting bat colony survival under controls targeting multiple transmission routes of white-nose syndrome. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 409:60-69.

JC Blackwood† and LM Childs† (2016). The role of interconnectivity in control of an Ebola epidemic. Scientific Reports, 6:29262.

JC Blackwood, DAT Cummings, S Iamsirithaworn, and P Rohani (2016). Using age-stratified incidence data to examine the transmission consequences of pertussis vaccination. Epidemics, 16:1-7.

JC Blackwood, DG Streicker, S Altizer, and P Rohani (2013). Resolving the roles of immunity, pathogenesis and immigration for rabies persistence in vampire bats. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110:20837-20842.

JC Blackwood, DAT Cummings, H Broutin, S Iamsirithaworn, and P Rohani (2013). Deciphering the impacts of vaccination and immunity on pertussis epidemiology in Thailand. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110:9595-9600.

JC Blackwood, DAT Cummings, H Broutin, S Iamsirithaworn, and P Rohani (2012). The population ecology of infectious diseases: pertussis in Thailand as a case study. Parasitology, 139:1888-1898.

JC Blackwood, L Berec, T Yamanaka, R Epanchin-Niell, A Hastings, and A Liebhold (2012). Bioeconomic synergy between tactics for insect eradication in the presence of Allee effects. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 279:2807-2815.

JC Blackwood, A Hastings, and PJ Mumby (2012). The effect of fishing on hysteresis in Caribbean coral reefs. Theoretical Ecology, 5:105-114.

JC Blackwood, A Hastings, and PJ Mumby (2011). A model-based approach to determine the long term effects of multiple interacting stressors on coral reefs. Ecological Applications, 21(7):2722–2733.

JC Blackwood and A Hastings (2011). The effect of time delays on Caribbean coral-algal interactions. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 273:37–43.

JC Blackwood, A Hastings, and C Costello (2010). Cost-effective management of invasive species using linear-quadratic control. Ecological Economics, 69:519–527.

*Undergraduate student at time of work
,  Authors contributed equally to this work


Book chapters

JC Blackwood, EE Goldwyn, and KJ Montovan (2026). Mathematical modeling for natural resource management. In F Nunan (Ed.), Sustainable Natural Resource Management: A Multidisciplinary Approach, pp. 122–136. Edward Elgar Publishing.

KJ Montovan, EE Goldwyn, JC Blackwood, and AA King (2026). Computational methods for efficient fitting of ODE models to time series data using pomp. In A Lewis, AJ Quijano, and A Wootton (Eds.), Foundations for Undergraduate Research in Mathematics, pp. xxx–xxx. Birkhäuser.


Other articles

S Twombly, A Hastings, T Miller, M Cortez, K Abbott, T Ramiadantsoa, JC Blackwood, and O Prosper (2022). New theory for increasingly tangled webs. Issues in Science and Technology, 38(4): 39–44.